WON Tip WON Ipswich 2-4 Arsenal

Ipswich vs Arsenal - Prediction & Betting Tips

IIpswich 2-4 ArsenalA
8:00 pm .Portman Road (Ipswich)
Home
WLLWW
7W 0D 3L
v Declining
Away
WWWWW
7W 1D 2L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 15th September 2026
2
Backing Arsenal to win
Implied Prob
69.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+4.6%
Value detected
Kelly %
14.9%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Arsenal to win
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ipswich vs Arsenal Competition: EFL Cup Date: Tuesday, 15th September 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 2 (Arsenal to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 74% Model Correct Score: 1-2 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
2
Ipswich
1
Draws
7
Arsenal
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Arsenal won 7 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Ipswich
Metric
Arsenal
2
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-0-3
W - D - L
7-1-2
Win Rate
70%
70%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
I0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 10.3%
0-2 9.8%
0-3 6.1%
0-4 2.9%
0-5 1.1%
I1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.1%
I2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 5.3%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.6%
I3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
I4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
I5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-2 9.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-1 10.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Ipswich
Overall
7.0^
Scoring
6.7^
Defence
4.7^
Arsenal
Overall
7.3v
Scoring
6.7v
Defence
7.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes26%
Home Win & BTTS No22%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes27%
Away Win & BTTS No22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.531%
Home Win & Under 2.517%
Draw & Over 2.52%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.532%
Away Win & Under 2.517%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
20.04.25
PL
Ipswich0
Arsenal4
27.12.24
PL
Arsenal1
Ipswich0
02.07.22
CF
Arsenal5
Ipswich1
25.01.11
EFL
Arsenal3
Ipswich0
12.01.11
EFL
Ipswich1
Arsenal0
21.04.02
PL
Arsenal2
Ipswich0
01.12.01
PL
Ipswich0
Arsenal2
10.02.01
PL
Arsenal1
Ipswich0
01.11.00
EFL
Arsenal1
Ipswich2
23.09.00
PL
Ipswich1
Arsenal1
Recent Form
Ipswich
12.09.26
PL
Crystal Palace2
Ipswich3
W
04.09.26
PL
Ipswich0
Liverpool2
L
30.08.26
PL
Manchester Utd5
Ipswich2
L
25.08.26
EFL
Ipswich3
Leicester1
W
22.08.26
PL
Ipswich2
Sunderland1
W
15.08.26
CF
Union Berlin2
Ipswich4
W
08.08.26
CF
Ipswich3
Rayo Vallecano0
W
04.08.26
CF
Ipswich1
Le Havre0
W
01.08.26
CF
Wycombe1
Ipswich2
W
01.08.26
CF
Oxford Utd2
Ipswich0
L
Arsenal
12.09.26
PL
Sunderland0
Arsenal2
W
09.09.26
CL
Napoli0
Arsenal1
W
06.09.26
PL
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
W
31.08.26
PL
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
W
21.08.26
PL
Arsenal3
Coventry0
W
16.08.26
CS
Arsenal3
Manchester City0
W
12.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Como (4-3)1
09.08.26
EMI
Arsenal2
Dortmund3
L
05.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Betis3
L
01.08.26
CF
Girona1
Arsenal4
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this EFL Cup fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Portman Road (Ipswich), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.44, a call we are confident in at roughly 21%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are EFL Cup predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Sep 2026, 9:57am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Ipswich vs Arsenal?
Our selection is 2 - Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Ipswich's current form?
Ipswich have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arsenal been performing recently?
Arsenal have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ipswich lead with 2 wins versus Arsenal's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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