LOST Tip LOST Olimpia Asuncion 1-1 Sp. Luqueno

Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno - Prediction & Betting Tips

OOlimpia Asuncion 1-1 Sp. LuquenoS
11:00 pm .Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción)
Home
WWWWD
8W 1D 1L
- Steady
Away
LWLLD
4W 1D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 1st October 2026
1
Backing Olimpia Asuncion to win
Implied Prob
65.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+0.6%
Value detected
Kelly %
1.8%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Olimpia Asuncion to win
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno Competition: Copa Paraguay Date: Thursday, 1st October 2026 KO: 11:00 pm Pick: 1 (Olimpia Asuncion to win) Odds: 1.53 Confidence: 66% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
10
Olimpia Asuncion
0
Draws
0
Sp. Luqueno
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Olimpia Asuncion won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Olimpia Asuncion
Metric
Sp. Luqueno
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-1-1
W - D - L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
O0
0-0 5.3%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
O2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
O3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 10.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 10.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Olimpia Asuncion
Overall
8.3-
Scoring
7.3-
Defence
6.0-
Sp. Luqueno
Overall
4.3^
Scoring
3.7^
Defence
5.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes34%
Home Win & BTTS No28%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.540%
Home Win & Under 2.522%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
13.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Sp. Luqueno0
23.05.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno1
Olimpia Asuncion2
18.03.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion1
Sp. Luqueno0
21.11.25
PD
Sp. Luqueno2
Olimpia Asuncion4
30.08.25
PD
Olimpia Asuncion2
Sp. Luqueno0
20.04.25
PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Sp. Luqueno1
09.02.25
PD
Sp. Luqueno0
Olimpia Asuncion1
28.11.24
PD
Sp. Luqueno0
Olimpia Asuncion1
15.09.24
PD
Olimpia Asuncion4
Sp. Luqueno3
22.05.24
PD
Sp. Luqueno0
Olimpia Asuncion2
Recent Form
Olimpia Asuncion
28.09.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion0
Olimpia Asuncion1
W
20.09.26
PD
San Lorenzo0
Olimpia Asuncion3
W
13.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Sp. Luqueno0
W
06.09.26
PD
Sportivo Trinidense1
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
02.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion1
Guarani1
D
29.08.26
PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
26.08.26
COP
Cristobal Colon FC3
Olimpia Asuncion5
W
23.08.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion2
Cerro Porteno1
W
20.08.26
COP
Olimpia Asuncion1
Vasco4
L
16.08.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion2
Ameliano1
W
Sp. Luqueno
25.09.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno0
Guarani1
L
20.09.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno1
Recoleta0
W
13.09.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Sp. Luqueno0
L
06.09.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno1
Ameliano2
L
01.09.26
PD
2 de Mayo2
Sp. Luqueno2
D
28.08.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno2
Rubio Nu1
W
24.08.26
PD
Nacional Asuncion2
Sp. Luqueno0
L
19.08.26
COP
Paraguari AC0
Sp. Luqueno2
W
16.08.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno1
Libertad Asuncion2
L
09.08.26
PD
San Lorenzo0
Sp. Luqueno2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Copa Paraguay fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.53, a call we are confident in at roughly 48%. The fixture starts at 11:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Copa Paraguay predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 2 Oct 2026, 8:04am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno?
Our selection is 1 - Olimpia Asuncion to win, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Olimpia Asuncion's current form?
Olimpia Asuncion have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sp. Luqueno been performing recently?
Sp. Luqueno have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Olimpia Asuncion lead with 10 wins versus Sp. Luqueno's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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