LOST Tip LOST SC Ashdod 1-0 M. Herzliya

SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSC Ashdod 1-0 M. HerzliyaM
5:00 pm
Home
WWWWW
7W 0D 3L
v Declining
Away
LDWDL
3W 4D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 1st October 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
89.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-3.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya Competition: Israel Leumit League Date: Thursday, 1st October 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 86% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
4
SC Ashdod
3
Draws
3
M. Herzliya
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
SC Ashdod
Metric
M. Herzliya
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-0-3
W - D - L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
S0
0-0 6.9%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 12.2% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
1-0 10.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.0% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
SC Ashdod
Overall
7.0v
Scoring
7.0v
Defence
6.0v
M. Herzliya
Overall
4.2^
Scoring
4.0^
Defence
5.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes35%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.529%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.513%
Away Win & Under 2.513%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
02.05.16
LL
SC Ashdod3
M. Herzliya3
19.02.16
LL
M. Herzliya1
SC Ashdod2
06.11.15
LL
SC Ashdod1
M. Herzliya1
01.03.11
SC
M. Herzliya0
SC Ashdod2
05.04.08
LH
M. Herzliya2
SC Ashdod0
09.02.08
LH
M. Herzliya1
SC Ashdod1
03.11.07
LH
SC Ashdod0
M. Herzliya1
19.05.07
LH
SC Ashdod0
M. Herzliya2
09.12.06
LH
M. Herzliya1
SC Ashdod2
26.08.06
LH
SC Ashdod1
M. Herzliya0
Recent Form
SC Ashdod
24.09.26
LL
Ironi Modiin1
SC Ashdod3
W
17.09.26
LL
SC Ashdod3
H. Ironi Rishon2
W
14.09.26
LL
H. Akko0
SC Ashdod4
W
06.09.26
LL
SC Ashdod4
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
W
31.08.26
LL
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
SC Ashdod2
W
24.08.26
LL
SC Ashdod1
Maccabi Jaffa0
W
18.08.26
LL
Hapoel Afula2
SC Ashdod0
L
10.07.26
CF
SC Ashdod1
Ironi Modiin3
L
18.05.26
LH
Kiryat Shmona2
SC Ashdod3
W
13.05.26
LH
SC Ashdod0
Hapoel Jerusalem1
L
M. Herzliya
24.09.26
LL
M. Herzliya1
Kiryat Yam3
L
17.09.26
LL
Bnei Yehuda1
M. Herzliya1
D
14.09.26
LL
M. Herzliya1
MS Kafr Qasim0
W
07.09.26
LL
Kiryat Gat1
M. Herzliya1
D
30.08.26
LL
M. Herzliya0
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
L
23.08.26
LL
M. Herzliya2
H. Raanana3
L
18.08.26
LL
Ironi Modiin0
M. Herzliya2
W
25.05.26
LL
Bnei Yehuda1
M. Herzliya1
D
20.05.26
LL
M. Herzliya1
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
D
15.05.26
LL
H. Ironi Rishon1
M. Herzliya2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Israel Leumit League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at the host venue, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.12, a call we are confident in at roughly 91%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Israel Leumit League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 2 Oct 2026, 8:02am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya?
Our selection is Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is SC Ashdod's current form?
SC Ashdod have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has M. Herzliya been performing recently?
M. Herzliya have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SC Ashdod lead with 4 wins versus M. Herzliya's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer