Moderate Signal
55%

Roma vs Sassuolo - Prediction & Betting Tips

RRoma vs SassuoloS
8:45 pm .- .Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
Home
LWWDW
5W 3D 2L
v Declining
Away
LLLLD
2W 3D 5L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 7th November 2026
1
Backing Roma to win
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-14.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Roma to win
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals95%BTTS - Yes75%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Roma vs Sassuolo Competition: Italian Serie A Date: Saturday, 7th November 2026 KO: 8:45 pm Pick: 1 (Roma to win) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 55% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS - Yes (75%)
02Head to Head
5
Roma
4
Draws
1
Sassuolo
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Roma won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
03Stats Duel
Roma
Metric
Sassuolo
2.7
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.5
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-3-2
W - D - L
2-3-5
Win Rate
50%
20%
4.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
R0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
R3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 7.3%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
R4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.7% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 8.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 7.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Roma
Overall
5.9v
Scoring
9.0v
Defence
4.7v
Sassuolo
Overall
2.9^
Scoring
5.3^
Defence
1.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes38%
Home Win & BTTS No13%
Draw & BTTS Yes23%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.521%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.514%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
10.01.26
SA
AS Roma2
Sassuolo0
26.10.25
SA
Sassuolo0
AS Roma1
17.03.24
SA
AS Roma1
Sassuolo0
03.12.23
SA
Sassuolo1
AS Roma2
12.03.23
SA
AS Roma3
Sassuolo4
09.11.22
SA
Sassuolo1
AS Roma1
13.02.22
SA
Sassuolo2
AS Roma2
12.09.21
SA
AS Roma2
Sassuolo1
03.04.21
SA
Sassuolo2
AS Roma2
06.12.20
SA
AS Roma0
Sassuolo0
Recent Form
Roma
03.11.26
CL
Manchester Utd3
AS Roma2
L
31.10.26
SA
Udinese2
AS Roma5
W
27.10.26
SA
AS Roma4
Cagliari2
W
24.10.26
SA
Napoli3
AS Roma3
D
20.10.26
CL
AS Roma4
Slovan Bratislava0
W
17.10.26
SA
AS Roma2
Genoa0
W
14.10.26
CL
AS Roma3
Real Madrid4
L
11.10.26
SA
Como0
AS Roma0
D
19.09.26
SA
AS Roma2
Inter2
D
14.09.26
SA
Torino0
AS Roma2
W
Sassuolo
02.11.26
SA
Sassuolo2
Fiorentina4
L
27.10.26
SA
Sassuolo2
Lazio6
L
24.10.26
SA
Como2
Sassuolo0
L
16.10.26
SA
Frosinone4
Sassuolo2
L
11.10.26
SA
Sassuolo1
AC Milan1
D
18.09.26
SA
Monza2
Sassuolo1
L
13.09.26
SA
Sassuolo3
Juventus2
W
06.09.26
SA
Bologna2
Sassuolo2
D
02.09.26
COP
Sassuolo1
Frosinone (4-3)1
29.08.26
SA
Sassuolo2
Torino1
W
Roma (Home)
27.10.26
SA
AS Roma4
Cagliari2
W
20.10.26
CL
AS Roma4
Slovan Bratislava0
W
17.10.26
SA
AS Roma2
Genoa0
W
14.10.26
CL
AS Roma3
Real Madrid4
L
19.09.26
SA
AS Roma2
Inter2
D
05.09.26
SA
AS Roma2
Atalanta1
W
24.08.26
SA
AS Roma4
Fiorentina0
W
17.05.26
SA
AS Roma2
Lazio0
W
04.05.26
SA
AS Roma4
Fiorentina0
W
18.04.26
SA
AS Roma1
Atalanta1
D
Sassuolo (Away)
24.10.26
SA
Como2
Sassuolo0
L
16.10.26
SA
Frosinone4
Sassuolo2
L
18.09.26
SA
Monza2
Sassuolo1
L
06.09.26
SA
Bologna2
Sassuolo2
D
23.08.26
SA
Atalanta2
Sassuolo1
L
08.08.26
CF
Augsburg3
Sassuolo2
L
25.07.26
CF
Trento2
Sassuolo0
L
24.05.26
SA
Parma1
Sassuolo0
L
08.05.26
SA
Torino2
Sassuolo1
L
26.04.26
SA
Fiorentina0
Sassuolo0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Italian Serie A fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.43, a call we are confident in at roughly 61%. The fixture starts at 8:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Italian Serie A predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 7 Nov 2026, 6:49am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our selection is 1 - Roma to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Roma's current form?
Roma have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sassuolo been performing recently?
Sassuolo have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Roma lead with 5 wins versus Sassuolo's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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