Moderate Signal
54%

Floriana vs Zabbar - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFloriana vs ZabbarZ
6:00 pm .- .Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)
Home
DDDWL
4W 4D 2L
^ Improving
Away
LWLLD
2W 3D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 26th October 2026
1
Backing Floriana to win
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Floriana to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Floriana vs Zabbar Competition: Malta Premier League Date: Monday, 26th October 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Floriana to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 54% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
8
Floriana
2
Draws
0
Zabbar
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Floriana won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Floriana
Metric
Zabbar
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-4-2
W - D - L
2-3-5
Win Rate
40%
20%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
F0
0-0 6.0%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 11.8%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.1%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 11.7%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 7.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 11.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 11.7% model probability
2-1 9.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Floriana
Overall
5.2^
Scoring
7.0^
Defence
5.3^
Zabbar
Overall
2.9-
Scoring
3.3-
Defence
5.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes22%
Draw & BTTS No15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes13%
Away Win & BTTS No8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.521%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.519%
Draw & Under 2.519%
Away Win & Over 2.511%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
01.02.26
PL
Zabbar0
Floriana3
28.01.26
FAT
Floriana0
Zabbar (2-4)0
24.09.25
PL
Floriana3
Zabbar1
02.02.25
PL
Floriana1
Zabbar0
28.08.24
PL
Zabbar0
Floriana3
09.11.08
FAT
Zabbar0
Floriana1
17.12.04
PL
Floriana2
Zabbar1
19.09.04
PL
Zabbar0
Floriana2
25.04.99
PL
Floriana5
Zabbar0
30.01.99
PL
Zabbar2
Floriana2
Recent Form
Floriana
22.10.26
PL
Birkirkara1
Floriana1
D
18.10.26
PL
Floriana3
Mosta3
D
11.10.26
PL
Floriana1
Balzan1
D
20.09.26
PL
Hibernians0
Floriana4
W
12.09.26
PL
Floriana2
Marsaxlokk5
L
07.09.26
SC
Floriana0
Valletta2
L
02.09.26
PL
Floriana4
Gzira1
W
29.08.26
PL
Hamrun1
Floriana1
D
21.08.26
PL
Floriana2
Sliema0
W
14.08.26
PL
Birzebbuga0
Floriana3
W
Zabbar
21.10.26
PL
Zabbar2
Sliema3
L
17.10.26
PL
Balzan1
Zabbar2
W
10.10.26
PL
Marsaxlokk2
Zabbar1
L
18.09.26
PL
Zabbar0
Birkirkara2
L
14.09.26
PL
Gzira0
Zabbar0
D
06.09.26
PL
Zabbar1
Hamrun2
L
28.08.26
PL
Hibernians1
Zabbar1
D
22.08.26
PL
Zabbar1
Birzebbuga0
W
16.08.26
PL
Valletta4
Zabbar2
L
25.07.26
CF
Marsaxlokk0
Zabbar0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Malta Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.38, a call we are confident in at roughly 49%. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Malta Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 26 Oct 2026, 7:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Floriana vs Zabbar?
Our selection is 1 - Floriana to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Floriana's current form?
Floriana have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zabbar been performing recently?
Zabbar have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Floriana lead with 8 wins versus Zabbar's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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